Sunday, April 24, 2011

International Politics As Usual

 

There's no such thing as Right and Wrong in politics. It's always been that way. “There is nothing new under the sun.”

There is no place for morality. The accomplishment of particular ends, the achievement of specific goals, has always superseded any consideration of means. Truth gives way to philosophy. That's the more important criterion. Fact yields to spin; information to innuendo; criticism to cynicism. Whatever it takes. It's not how you play the game – it's whether you win or lose. There is no middle ground. Ideological purity is more important than agreement.

There was a time when compromise was viewed as a method for reaching a reasonable and satisfactory result – one which gave all those with different views the opportunity to claim victory. Politics was described as “the art of the possible.” We now live in an age of extreme sports and, sadly, politics has become the most extreme of the blood sports. Sometimes compromises are reached, but only after cut-throat bargaining. Cooperative give and take has evolved into brinkmanship and campaigning. Too often parties enter into negotiations with a goal not of solving a problem for their constituents, but of claiming a position, and creating an issue for the next election.

Not only is all fair in love and war,i but the same is true in politics. Rumor, spying, and “dirty tricks” have become staples of the form. Winning is everything. It's not hypocrisy; it's hardball.

If local and national politics are savage, however, the international form of the art is even rougher. Diplomatic cocktail parties may have all the trappings of civility, but international law is merely the law of the jungle in tails and striped pants. Reality yields to realpolitik. The survival of the fittest is the rule that governs decisions. And nowhere is that more clearly seen than in the Middle East – in the dispute between the Palestinians and Israel.

The arguments for and against Israel are coming to an end. We're reaching the end game. The Muslim world, indeed the world, supports a Palestinian state, and it is likely to be declared by the UN in September. Israel may not survive, but that is not the primary consideration. The UN giveth, the UN taketh away. No negotiations. No compromises. No concessions by the Palestinians, only by Israel.

There are about 1.7 billion Muslims alive and only about 14 million Jews – many of whom choose not to identify with Judaism – in an already antisemitic world. And the birth rate is much higher among the Muslims than the Jews. According to Muslims, the Jews, less than one tenth of one percent of their numbers, somehow are dominating them. Right, wrong, and logic are irrelevant. Everyone loves a winner, and if numbers, and control of oil, are the marks of a winner, the Muslims are way ahead. No matter what concessions Israel makes, they will not be enough. They will only be starting points. The Palestinians will demand an unprecedented “right of return” recognizing that this would certainly end the viability of a Jewish state.ii The world's politicians are smart enough to know this, so arguing the point is silly. The nations claim that they are simply demanding fair treatment for the weak, without acknowledging that the Palestinians and the Muslims are not weak, except to the degree that their condition is caused by their fellows. The nations actually favor the strong, using the “weak” as a smokescreen. They expect the Muslims to be the ultimate winners and they want to be on the winning side.

But there's more to it than that. Much as Israel's enemies claim that anti-Zionism is not the same as antisemitism, their argument is unconvincing. Many of their justifications center on the claimed flaws of “the Jews.” And those who disagree with them are usually accused of playing the “antisemitism card.”

Unfortunately, antisemitism is a large part of the equation. In ancient times people looked forward to a time when nation would not lift up sword against nation. At that time the battles were between nations.iii With the development of Christianity, and the need of new Christians to distance themselves from their former heritage, it became useful to scorn and denigrate that heritage – to defame Judaism itself. And antisemitism was born. In recent years there has been an effort on the part of many Christians to atone for this sin – to honor that heritage even if they expect someday to replace it – but the cudgel was taken up by the Muslims and has been magnified greatly in recent years. Indeed, there are some Muslims who goad Christians by claiming that the Jews have caused great harm to Christianity and that an alliance between Muslims and Christians against the Jews is justified.iv So if there are problems in the world – and there are – the Jews must be to blame. That has been the claim for many years concerning every crisis in the Middle East. If it was not caused directly by Israel (read: the Jews), it resulted from the resentment of the humiliation and oppression that Israel imposed on the Palestinians. Turmoil around the world in recent years, especially that in the Middle East, is of no concern to the world's diplomats unless a way can be found to fault Israel. They close their eyes to anything else. If genocides occur among Christians, Animists, or Muslims, they are of no import if they cannot be blamed on Israel.

And who can blame them? It is their job, and possibly their passion, to look to the best interests of their homelands. Morality is not an issue. As Lord Palmerston said, “There are neither eternal allies nor eternal enemies. Only interests are eternal.” The interests of the nations are on their own survival and their ability to provide for their own people – the voters in the case of democracies.v Times change and, perhaps, over time, eternal interests will be seen differently, when oil, numbers, bribery, and threats carry less weight. But not now. And it's time Israel recognized this and dealt with it.

One of the important threads in Judaism is faith. Have trust in G-d. He will save the Jews. It will all work out in the end, when the Messiah comes.vi But not everyone is content to suffer injustice while waiting.

There is another view in tension with the wait and see attitude. According to the Talmud, “We do not rely on a miracle.”vii Whatever will happen in the future, we must deal with the present. And perhaps there is still time. While the world is too embarrassed to abandon Israel entirely, a treaty is advisable. Maybe even possible. So the solution for Israel? Cop a plea. Deal while you can. It won't be easy, but the conditions can be limited and presented as a final offer – not as a starting point for further negotiations. Giveviii the Palestinians Judea and Samaria; build an island in the Mediterranean for them with an airport and a sea port off Gaza – perhaps in exchange for some land like cities built in the land being surrendered; allow the establishment of a Palestinian capital in some Arab neighborhoods outside the Old City. But in exchange there should be an end to the claim of a “right of return” that would turn Israel into another Palestinian state, and recognition of Israel as a Jewish state. Although as many Jews as Muslims were displaced in 1948, the likelihood of the Jews receiving any compensation is nil, but they should not lose their new country after being expelled from the old. And security should be assured. Indeed, if Israel is attacked again by the Palestinians or one of their surrogates, any treaty would be invalidated, and if Israel prevails there should be no expectation of easy or quick return of captured land without significant concessions.

Of course a treaty is only a sheet of paper and it wouldn't be a surprise if it is broken,ix so preparations for the next round would have to begin immediately. It's not inevitable, but it's likely. So Israel will have to accept a treaty even though they must prepare for even worse problems. Not because it is fair. It isn't. Not because it is just. That's certainly not the case. But because it is possible, or it may be possible, to win a few years of normalcy. And politics – local or international – is the art of the possible. There is little choice. All Israel can do is have faith, but she can't wait for miracles.

And she should pray.








Next episode: "Two For The Price Of One?" – Multitasking and chewing gum.






i      Helen, Paris, and their horse attest to that.

ii     It is the goal of the Muslims, openly expressed, that Israel not exist. Hamas has been the loudest advocate of this point of view, but there is a widespread view that any Jewish State on “Muslim land” is intolerable.

iii    It was a national, not a religious issue.

iv    Such an alliance, however, should leave the Muslims in charge and the Christians as tolerated subjects.

v     And, of course, the interests of national leaders and of politicians at all levels, are in themselves – in power, their egos, their legacies, and the more mundane benefits of office.

vi    The Naturei Karta, and similar groups, are Jews who oppose the State of Israel and believe that until that time – when the Messiah comes – there should not be such a state.

vii    Pesachim, 64b. Statement of Raba.

viii    Not return. It's really part of Israel.

ix    More likely, it won't even be accepted. As much as the Arab states claim they want peace, the presence of a Jewish state in their midst is an affront which they will probably not countenance. Hamas has certainly taken this position publicly, and the possibility of the approval of a treaty by the Palestinian Authority is remote. Yassar Arafat denied any connection of Jews with the land and that is hardly a confidence-building start.

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