We
are threatened. By the past and by the future. Frost may have
foreseen a different scenario in his time, but concerns have changed.
We're
admonished that if we don't learn from the past we're condemned to
repeat it. That would be a positive outcome, because it speaks to
future possibilities, but our future doesn't look that hopeful –
especially since history suggests that it's likely to contain some
challenges that will be hard for us to meet.
Let
me start with the past and then I'll get back to the future.
It
is not fashionable – at least in centers of liberal thought – to
note the threat of Radical Islam. It's “Islamophobia” and it's
not politically correct. Yet it's hard to deny the rapid rise of
Islam throughout the world. In the early seventh century CE, about
the time of Muhammad's epiphany, when he was the sole adherent of the
new faith, there were approximately 203 million people in the world.
There are now more than 1.6 billion Muslims out of a population of
7.1 billion. Put differently, the Muslim population has risen 1.6
billion times while the world's population is only thirty-five times
what it was in Muhammad's time. (Islam is now the world's second
largest religion, behind Christianity, which it is expected to pass
in about fifty-five years.)
How
did Islam gain so many adherents? Natural growth, of course, was one
of the factors. But however prolific Muhammad and his followers,
that would certainly be a minor factor. Another mechanism was the
proselytization of others – starting with those around him. The
Qur’an attests to this being problematic. It certainly contributed
to the number of believers, but the contribution doesn't nearly
account for the numbers.
The
new believers, however, were passionate and resolute. Muhammad had
written in the Qur'an
“[F]ight and slay the pagans
wherever you find them, and seize them, beleaguer them, and lie in
wait for them in every stratagem (of war); but if they repent, and
establish regular prayers and practice regular charity, then open the
way for them: for God is Oft-forgiving, Most Merciful.” (9:5)
Convert to Islam or die. It was a simple, and very convincing, argument. And the policy was carried out without mercy. To an alarming degree the new religion was spread not by the word, but by the sword. And, sadly, that medieval approach exists today among many – for just a small percentage of 1.6 billion is a lot of people, and many of them are ready, and even eager, to die for their beliefs. Their determination is evident from news broadcasts we hear daily. The sword threatens us today. Terrorism is rampant around the globe ("[t]errorism is rampant around the globe dozens of Swedish citizens received threatening letters with 'ISIS' signatures, calling for them to either convert to Islam, pay tax to the terrorist organization, or be killed – according to a Russia Today Arabic report") and, notwithstanding the struthious attitude of many, including world leaders, the vast majority of perpetrators of multi-victim terrorist attacks are “radical Muslims.” (Less frequently the insane and imitators.) The media also promote a head-in-the-sand approach: they decry prejudice by advertizing their own bias. And it's not just political correctness. It's bias.
What about the future – a future in
which the number of Muslims (including radical terrorists) will
increase? Humanity will become even more dehumanized than it already
is. Robots will increase. In a sense, the history of robots is a
long one, dating back to several centuries before the Common Era.
But for most of the time what was theorized, drawn, or built were
little more than toys. They were non-moving or moving statues that
served no practical purpose. The first such construction that
actually did something was built in 1865. John Brainerd created the
Steam Man which apparently was used to pull wheeled carts and other
objects. And their existence was literary in 1921, as noted in
robotshop.com, “[T]he term 'robot' was first used in a play called
'R.U.R.' or 'Rossum's Universal Robots' by the Czech writer Karel
Capek.” The plot was simple: “man creates a robot to replace him
and then robot kills man!” And while there were other tales of
robots, R.U.R. raised a serious problem dealt with by Isaac Asimov in
his laws of robotics.
A robot may not injure a human
being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm. A
robot must obey orders given it by human beings except where such
orders would conflict with the First Law. A robot must protect its
own existence as long as such protection does not conflict with the
First or Second Law.
But
scientists, good and bad, don't accept limitations. There are robots
now and it is certain that sooner or later there will be others
programed to go about on their own without any intervention or
limitation by human beings. H.A.L., in “2001:
A Space Odyssey,”
defied human control in fiction, and, as is so often the case,
science imitates science fiction, and this ability will probably be
installed in some future computers and robots. And along with that
will come the ability to produce additional examples of themselves.
Horrifying as it might seem, it is not difficult to imagine the
ultimate control of humans by those machines.
Muslims
who live in the past or robots likely to be created in the future?
Neither is an especially attractive prospect. And the answer? There
is none I can imagine. I may not be around to see it, but one or the
other seems likely to me. I'm not sure what we can learn from the
past. I'm not certain what we can do to prevent the challenges we
face from overwhelming us. It's up to the politicians and the
generals to find a solution if one exists. We're in trouble if we
have to rely on politicians and generals, but I fear that that's the
reality.