I
recently joked about the possibility of writing in the name of Vermin
Supreme or Harry Truman for President. It may have been amusing
then, but I'm not laughing now.
I
heard on the radio yesterday that Donald Trump had the number of
delegates he needed to secure the Republican nomination, and that he
had accepted a challenge to debate from Senator Sanders. Secretary
Clinton (or perhaps her staff) had miscalculated the significance of
a similar challenge from the Senator and had dismissed it, viewing
her dominant position in the quest for the Democratic nomination as
more important, and not wishing to be placed in a situation where an
error might threaten her lead. And by ignoring his bid she also
indicated a view that she didn't see him as a serious contender for
the nomination, one on whom she wished to waste her time.
Her
decision was a mistake. She'll still win the nomination, but in the
interim he will have had a national pulpit on which to air his views
to the American people. Both of the debaters will be populists with
large, loyal, and fanatical followings, with throngs ready to cheer
at anything they say. I consider the Senator's views as both
irresponsible and unworkable, but in contrast to Mr. Trump, whose
ideas (at least the very few he's seen to have) are even more
reprehensible, he's likely to earn increased support from the mob
he's already attracted, as well as some who have not yet settled on a
candidate.
That
means that the ideological gap among our voters is likely to
increase. Secretary Clinton will be forced to move her positions –
at least those she's willing to express, whether truthfully or not –
to the left, as a sop to those who have rallied behind the Senator.
Similarly, the Democratic platform will be pushed in that direction.
That's not necessarily the choice of all Democrats, but it's the
reality of a polarized election.
Meanwhile,
Mr. Trump, who is not viewed as conservative enough by many in the
constituency he hopes to attract, will probably move rightward. And
it's likely that he'll become more stentorian as he does so, but
he'll also try to sound more presidential, if his handlers can
convince him to do so. It's also likely that backing off a little
will ease the concerns of the leaders of our allies and adversaries,
many of whom are baffled by someone who seems to utter decisions
without thought (perhaps that's the way he got into a debate with
Senator Sanders).
It's
a little late for a third party, and they never do well anyway, so
we're stuck with a choice of extremes – a (n ex-) Secretary of who
has been accused of exposing state secrets to those who might hack
her secret computer, and a reality-show host who probably couldn't
keep a secret if tried – he'd rather shout it out; two egotists
whose goal is to win, irrespective of the effects on the country and
Constitution to which they swear loyalty. It's a lose-lose
situation. And we're the big losers.
It's
time to look ahead with our 2020 vision. Let's hope America
survives. At least with Vermin Supreme I'd get a pony to ride off
into the sunset.
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